Risk-to-Model Wiring
Risk · Underwriting — Quiet Precision
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cre-terminal · risk wiring Illustrative composition

Five risk findings sit on the left, each with the evidence behind it, and five pro forma lines sit on the right. At first every pair is separated by a dashed line and a cross, and the state reads Disconnected. Then the wires close one at a time and each assumption revises, with the original figure kept beside the new one: deferred HVAC risk, from the risk memo, raises the CapEx reserve from $250 to $1,453 per unit per year, 5.8 times; new supply delivering, 1,240 units, raises stabilized vacancy from 5.0% to 7.5%, plus 250 basis points; maintenance complaints, from tenant reviews, raise R&M expense from $1,900 to $2,420 per unit per year, plus 27%; comp and rent evidence, 38 comps, cuts rent growth from 3.0% to 1.8% over the year one to five CAGR, minus 120 basis points; and insurance and tax exposure, from public records, raises expense growth from 2.0% to 5.5%, plus 350 basis points. The state then reads Wired.

Risk findings Disconnected Pro forma model
Each revision keeps the figure it replaced — the comparison is the point.
▸Five findings, none of them in the model yet…
Illustrative deal — sample findings and figures, not a customer model.
Sequence — five findings disconnected from the model · the wires close one at a time · each assumption revises and the panel holds. The argument — a risk finding is an input to the pro forma, not a memo beside it: this evidence changes this line by this much. Changed — the original figure is kept beside the revision rather than deleted, so the comparison the row exists to make survives the frame that makes it; the magnitude of each change is stated; and the disconnected state is held long enough to be read rather than passed through. Still true — all five revisions are adverse, which is the source material's framing; the same wiring carries favorable evidence the other way, and a set that showed only haircuts would be worth balancing before this ships.